Greg Mitchell is the author of a dozen books, including (with Robert Jay Lifton) “Hiroshima in America,” “Atomic Cover-up,” and the recent award-winning “The Beginning or the End: How Hollywood—and America—Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb.” He has directed three documentary films since 2021 for PBS (including “Atomic Cover-up”) . You can subscribe to this newsletter for free.
Last week I covered and excerpted Annie Jacobsen’s new book, now a bestseller, “Nuclear War: A Scenario.” Today news that “Dune” director Denis Villeneuve plans a movie. As I know all too well, options don’t necessarily lead to completed projects, but it’s still very promising.
Here’s the scoop from Deadline Hollywood, and then what I posted last week.
In a deal worth $500,000 against $1.5 million, Legendary Entertainment has optioned Pulitzer Prize finalist Annie Jacobsen’s nonfiction book Nuclear War: A Scenario as a potential reteam with its Dune: Part Two director Denis Villeneuve. The expectation is that Villeneuve would take this one as another giant project after he completes Dune: Messiah, which he and Legendary are developing as the conclusion of the trilogy.
Deadline reveals the deal just as Nuclear War hits the New York Times bestseller lists. The book explores a ticking-clock scenario about what would happen in the event of a nuclear war, based on dozens of exclusive new interviews with military and civilian experts who built the weapons and have been privy to the response plans and have been responsible for those decisions should they need to be made.
This comes after Oppenheimer cleaned up at the Oscars, telling the story of the development of the A-bomb in a race against Hitler’s Germany. The expectation is that Villeneuve would look to adapt and/or direct Nuclear War, producing with his longtime partner Tanya Lapointe. The expectation also is that this would be a chilling cautionary tale about where the world might be headed in an age of political volatility at a time when too many countries have nuclear capabilities. Oppenheimer dealt with the title character and other scientists’ knowledge they could be introducing weaponry that could destroy the world. A nuclear armageddon could finish the job.
Legendary followed Dune: Part Two (the highest-grossing film of the year with $637 million in global receipts and counting) by launching another global blockbuster in Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire.
The book originated from an idea by The Story Factory’s Shane Salerno, who brought it to Jacobsen and worked with her on the manuscript.
Part of my report last week if you missed:
Leaving for holiday break tomorrow, but a quick post here on an important new book. The author, Annie Jacobsen, has written other notable volumes, including “Area 51", “Operation Paperclip” and “The Pentagon’s Brain.” She’s also written and produced for TV series such as “Tom Clancy’s Jack Ryan” and “Clarice.”
The new book, from Dutton, is titled simply “Nuclear War: A Scenario.” A Wall St. Journal review puts it succinctly: “Annie Jacobsen gives us a vivid picture of what could happen if our nuclear guardians fail…Terrifying.” From the publisher:
There is only one scenario other than an asteroid strike that could end the world as we know it in a matter of hours: nuclear war. And one of the triggers for that war would be a nuclear missile inbound toward the United States.
Every generation, a journalist has looked deep into the heart of the nuclear military establishment: the technologies, the safeguards, the plans, and the risks. These investigations are vital to how we understand the world we really live in—where one nuclear missile will beget one in return, and where the choreography of the world’s end requires massive decisions made on seconds’ notice with information that is only as good as the intelligence we have.
Pulitzer Prize finalist Annie Jacobsen’s “Nuclear War: A Scenario” explores this ticking-clock scenario, based on dozens of exclusive new interviews with military and civilian experts who have built the weapons, have been privy to the response plans, and have been responsible for those decisions should they have needed to be made. “Nuclear War: A Scenario” examines the handful of minutes after a nuclear missile launch. It is essential reading, and unlike any other book in its depth and urgency.
Of course, this interests me, as I have warned about this in several books, hundreds of articles and a PBS film going back to the early 1980s, and since last July here on this Substack (numerous times). Our “first use” or “first strike” policy, in effect since August 1945, has been a focus of my writing, most recently here, along with America (and prominent film directors) still not coming to terms with the use of the weapon against Japan and the lessons for today.
Mother Jones is out with an excerpt today from the Jacobsen book. My first piece for that magazine was published four decades ago—an interview with Hiroshima pilot Paul Tibbets. Since I’ve written several pieces for them in recent years (including on this subject), I will guess that they won’t mind if I excerpt from their excerpt below, adapted for the magazine, copyright Jacobsen, of course.
We sit on the razor’s edge. Vladimir Putin has said he is “not bluffing” about the possibility of using weapons of mass destruction should NATO overstep on Ukraine, and North Korea accuses the US of having “a sinister intention to provoke a nuclear war.” For generations, the American public has viewed a nuclear World War III as a remote prospect, but the threat is ever-present. “Humanity is one misunderstanding, one miscalculation away from nuclear annihilation,” cautions UN Secretary-General António Guterres. “We must reverse course.”
So far, we haven’t. The Pentagon’s plans for nuclear war remain firmly in place.
The US government has spent trillions of dollars over the decades preparing to fight a nuclear war, while refining protocols meant to keep the government functioning after hundreds of millions of Americans become casualties of a nuclear holocaust, and the annual budgets continue to grow. The nation’s integrated nuclear war plan in the 1960s was utter madness. It almost certainly remains so today….
The number of nuclear weapons in the US stockpile today is smaller now than it was in 1960, but there still are 1,770 deployed weapons, a majority of which are on ready-for-launch status, with thousands more held in reserve, for a total inventory of more than 5,000 warheads. Russia has some 1,674 deployed nuclear weapons, most on ready-for-launch status, with thousands more in reserve, for a total inventory about the same size. These weapons, if used, would result in the kind of mass extermination John Rubel heard about decades ago, and that “Nuclear War: A Scenario” is based upon.
To insist that nuclear war is “unimaginable” is a failure of imagination. Presidents have been asking us to contemplate nuclear holocaust since the SIOP first came to be. “Today, every inhabitant of this planet must contemplate the day when this planet may no longer be habitable,” President Kennedy told the world in 1961. Four years later, President Ronald Reagan and Soviet General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev declared in a joint statement that “a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought.” And President Joe Biden, in 2022, warned that “the prospect of Armageddon” is at a terrifying new high.
So here we are. Teetering at the edge—perhaps even closer than ever before.
Really glad Villeneuve will be directing the new nuclear weaponry film instead of Nolan. DV is for instance stopping with Dune Messiah, on its cautionary note about the pain and suffering from following messianic military leaders.
DV's films like Arrival have shown pathos, grief, heart and soul as well as technical artistry. DV's sensibility and who he is as a man will hopefully do justice to the subject matter that Nolan, for all his directorial experience and filming proficiency, imo would not internally have to give.
The production team and DV ought to consult w/ you Greg, and hope they will. You best depict the awareness I've had about Hiroshima and Nagasaki since I was a girl living in Tokyo with a Japanese nanny from Nagasaki whose entire family was obliterated in an instance. As if Hitler hadn't already surrendered and the Russians weren't already prepping to mop up in Japan as needed after their long regional rivalry.
People in the US sadly have so little grasp of WWII facts involving nukes, the fault of our public propag... I mean educational system, and Nolan's movie and its Oscar/precursor success (credit excellent actors) didn't help improve that situation. As you so well know, just another in a long line of misleading articles and movies, as though Oppie's personal ambiguity and angst at the end replaced the presidential/top military decisions to drop both nukes on Japanese women and children.
But taking a hard look at our own national character as being all too perfectly imperfect has never been the American way in my lifetime. (Not that I think other countries like Germany wouldn't have initiated first strike if they'd had the bomb first, but to keep holding the US as though blameless for the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Japanese civilians after Hitler surrendered is, in a word, asinine, and we ought to do better.
Forty years later surely.